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Maybe they do ring a bell when it’s time to act

July 15th, 2012

Sometimes they do ring a bell at the bottom…

When you get to 40-year extreme valuation levels it’s usually a good time to be positioning for a reversion to the mean. All the obvious bad news would appear to be in the prices.

european-to-us-total-equity-market-valuation-ratio-as-of-mid-year-2012-source-bca-research-barrons-july-16-2012-issue

Go with good quality, financially strong companies that are likely to survive and prosper even if things go badly on a macro-economic level in the near term.

Many of the stocks exhibiting these traits are now offered with low P/Es and relatively high yields. The main risk? Relative devaluation of the Euro against the $US. Euro/Dollar parity was predicted on the cover of Barrons this week which may be a classic contrary indicator.

euro-us-barron-cover-story-july-16-2012

Purchase candidates include both pure plays on Europe plus shares of international giants with significant European exposure.

Position: Long KELYA, MAN, MT, RDS.a, TOT, XOM, COP, CMI, WAG, ANF, SEE, SPLS, ITW, PEP, IBKR

Dr. Paul Price July 15, 2012

RealMoneyPro@TheStreet.com

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