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ABM Industries – Cleaning Up by Cleaning Up

January 15th, 2010 No comments

ABM Industries [NYSE:ABM  $20.30 /share] is the largest contractual facilities servicer in America for industrial and commercial properties. About 5% of total revenues come from Canadian operations. The company provides janitorial services (including floor cleaning and finishing, wall and window washing, and other cleaning services) parking, engineering, and security to hundreds of properties throughout North America. They also market janitorial supplies and equipment.

abm-image

The type of services ABM provides are not particularly economically sensitive nor are they readily deferrable. This has shown to be true over many years. Fiscal 2009 (ended Oct. 31, 2009) marked the fourteenth year of the past sixteen that saw higher year-over-year EPS.

Earnings, cash flow, book value and dividends each hit all-time highs in the FY just completed. Here are ABM’s per share numbers from continuing operations as reported by Value Line:

FY

Sales

C/F

EPS

Div.

B/V

Avg. P/E

2001

39.98

1.46

0.90

0.33

7.40

17.6x

2002

43.49

1.23

0.92

0.36

7.67

17.6x

2003

46.78

1.06

0.73

0.38

9.18

20.4x

2004

49.61

1.13

0.84

0.40

9.08

21.7x

2005

52.73

1.33

0.91

0.42

8.70

21.4x

2006

55.78

1.42

0.97

0.44

11.13

19.1x

2007

58.35

1.40

0.99

0.48

12.46

24.7x

2008

71.10

1.66

1.10

0.50

12.64

19.3x

2009

67.10

2.00

1.33

0.52

13.20

13.6x

Consensus views for FY 2010 and 2011 are now at $1.42 and $1.59 /share. At this afternoon’s price of $20.30 that puts the multiple at just 14.3x this year’s and about 12.8x next year’s expectations. Those are bargain levels compared to all of ABM’s trading history prior to the late 2008 – early 2009 market meltdown. Value Line notes ABM’s 10-year median P/E has been 19x and is using that same multiple in calculating their 3-5 year projections.

The current yield of 2.75% is also attractive in today’s interest rate environment and it’s higher than typical for ABM while well covered at about 39% of net earnings. The dividend has been increased in each of the past 15 years. It now stands at $0.14 /share quarterly.

Total debt is < 20% of capital. They have no defined benefit plan (and no pension liabilities). Value Line rates their ‘earnings predictability’ in the 90th percentile (with 100th being best) and sees ‘stock price stability’ in the 75th percentile.

Officers and directors have shown confidence through their ownership of about 12.7% of the outstanding shares. As the leader in its field ABM is well positioned to gain market share. They picked up a long-term contract to maintain the Staples Center (home of the LA Lakers) last year.

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Clean up with ABM Industries – ABM $20.15

October 15th, 2009 1 comment

ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) is the largest publically traded facility services contractor in the United States. ABM and its subsidiaries provide janitorial, parking, security and engineering services for commercial, industrial, institutional and retail facilities in cities throughout the United States. About 5% of revenues come from Canadian operations. The Company operates through four segments: Janitorial, Parking, Security and Engineering.

abm-image

 
ABM stands for American Building Maintenance. When A/C, elevator, janitorial and other services are needed in office buildings they cannot generally be deferred. This makes ABM a very predictable business. Their long-term sales and earnings have grown nicely, as have book value and dividends.
 
ABM was recently awarded a three-year contract to be exclusive provider of facilities services for both the Staples Center in Los Angeles (home of the Lakers) as well as the 7,100 seat Nokia Theater, Los Angeles.
 
Here are ABM’s (split-adjusted) per share numbers from continuing operations as reported by Value Line. FYs end October 31st.
 
FY
Sales
C/F
EPS
Div.
B/V
Avg. P/E
2001
39.98
1.46
0.90
0.33
7.40
17.6x
2002
43.49
1.23
0.92
0.36
7.67
17.6x
2003
46.78
1.06
0.73
0.38
9.18
20.4x
2004
49.61
1.13
0.84
0.40
9.08
21.7x
2005
52.73
1.33
0.91
0.42
9.70
21.4x
2006
55.78
1.42
0.97
0.44
11.13
19.1x
2007
58.35
1.40
0.99
0.48
12.46
24.7x
2008
71.10
1.66
1.10
0.50
12.64
19.3x
2009*
67.92
1.97
1.32
0.52
13.22
15.1x
*FY 2009 data includes Q4 estimates from Zacks
 
Zacks sees EPS for the year just wrapping up and for FY 2010 as $1.32 and $1.49 respectively. With ABM shares now at $20.15 ABM’s trailing multiple is about 15.3x and their forward P/E is approximately 13.5x. That’s the lowest valuation for these shares since January of 2000. Buyers back then saw their shares climb from $9.60 to $19.10 over the next seventeen months.
 
A rebound to about 17x forward earnings would bring these shares back to north of $25 by late next year. That’s about 25% above today’s quote.
 
The dividend is now $0.13 quarterly for a 2.58% current yield and it has been increased each year since 1995.
 
Between the appreciation potential and yield I’d expect a 12-month total return of
20% - 30%. That’s pretty good for a low Beta, somewhat conservative stock.
 
By April I expect that this stock can be at least $22.50. Is that reasonable?
I think so. ABM hit peak prices of $24, $31.20, $27.50 and $23.32 in calendar 2006-2007-2008 and already this year. Earnings through the first three quarters of this FY were $0.88 versus $0.74 or plus 18.9% even in a crap economy.          
 
For those who are option savvy, I’d think about this short-term buy/write:

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ABM Industries - Maintaining Growth

June 11th, 2009 1 comment

abm-logoABM Industries: (NYSE:ABM) Jun. 10, 2009 $18.65
52-week range: $11.64 (Feb. 20, 2009) - $27.47 (Sep. 3, 2008)
Dividend = $0.13 quarterly = 2.79% current yield

Company profile by Morningstar :

ABM Industries offers contractual facilities services for industrial and commercial properties. The company provides janitorial services (including floor cleaning and finishing, wall and window washing, and other cleaning services) parking, engineering, and security to hundreds of properties throughout North America. ABM Industries also markets janitorial supplies and equipment.

This company is the largest publicly traded facilities contractor in America. Fiscal 2009 (ends Oct. 31, 2009) will likely mark the fourteenth year of improved year-over-year earnings of the past sixteen. The dividend has been increased in each of the past 15 years.

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