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Wal-Mart: A Store of Value in a Shaky Economy

July 4th, 2009 2 comments

wmt-image 

Wal-Mart [NYSE:WMT] July 2, 2009 $47.79

52-week range: $46.25 (Feb. 2, 2009) - $63.85 (Sep. 19, 2008)

Dividend = $0.2725 quarterly = 2.28% current yield

 

While business is not exactly booming right now Wal-Mart still is expected to post another all-time record fiscal year when things wrap up next January 31st. Zacks looks for EPS of $3.56 and $3.89 for FY 2009 and 2010 respectively, up from FY 2008’s $3.42.

 

The dividend was raised 15% in the June quarter to an annual rate of $1.09 giving WMT shareholders a decent and well covered 2.28% current yield. This is the highest yield in WMT’s history. Revenues of over $401 billion in FY 2008 made Wal-Mart the world’s largest retail operation.

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Riding Coach for First Class Returns

May 6th, 2009 3 comments
Coach (COH) is the designer and manufacturer of fine quality leather goods and accessories. They also license watches, footwear, and other product lines. They were acquired by Sara Lee Corp. (SLE) in 1985 and subsequently spun off as a separate entity in October 2000.

From their IPO through fiscal 2008 (ended June 2008), sales and earnings did nothing but surge higher. Last year’s recession likely caused the first year-over–year EPS decline with the consensus estimate for FY 2009 now at $1.90 versus last year’s $2.06. Analysts are taking a conservative stance even further out by projecting a second straight earnings decline into FY 2010 to $1.80/share.

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A Combination Play with Costco Wholesale for Value Shoppers

May 4th, 2009 2 comments

costco-logoCostco now sells for $47.50 or 19x the already recession-reduced $2.50 estimate for FY 2009 [ends August 31].

That compares with a 10-year median P/E of 24x and a most recent five year average multiple of 21.7x. If you believe we’re near the bottom of the economic cycle this looks like a good time to play COST for a rebound over the next couple of years.

Costco has proven to be a great operator during both good and bad times. If this FY’s earnings do come in lower than last year’s, it will be only the third down year-over-year comparison in the past seventeen. The others came in 1994 and 2001 during similarly depressed conditions.

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